Christian Dvorak vs Drake Caggiula
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Caggiula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Caggiula 40.0% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 92.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 89.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Dvorak
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Caggiula
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
0
1
Dvorak
Caggiula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Caggiula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Caggiula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
37.9% (390)
+15.1%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
41.7% (12)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
18.2% (11)
+32.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Caggiula
Home
54.7% (4,115)
41.9% (217)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
32.7% (196)
By Period
Dvorak
Caggiula
P1
54.5%
37.7%
P2
51.8%
37.7%
P3
53.0%
37.3%
OT
56.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |