Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Thornton 51.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 65.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Dvorak
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Thornton
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
52.7% (372)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
47.6% (63)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
60.0% (5)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Thornton
Home
53.9% (523)
51.2% (250)
Away
49.2% (616)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Dvorak
Thornton
P1
56.7%
56.1%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
46.7%
47.4%
OT
83.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |