Christian Dvorak vs Keegan Kolesar
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Kolesar 47.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 86.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 79.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Dvorak
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Dvorak
Kolesar
Last 8: Dvorak 7-1 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Kolesar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Kolesar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
46.3% (134)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
0.0% (1)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kolesar
Home
55.0% (516)
41.2% (51)
Away
49.3% (546)
48.8% (84)
By Period
Dvorak
Kolesar
P1
54.9%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
46.9%
P3
51.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |