Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Turris 47.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 67.1%
Defensive zone
Turris 66.5%
Neutral zone
Turris 63.4%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Dvorak
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dvorak
Turris
Last 6: Dvorak 2-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Dvorak
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Dvorak
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
48.8% (449)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
41.2% (51)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
33.3% (18)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Dvorak is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Dvorak shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Turris
Home
58.6% (444)
51.2% (252)
Away
52.1% (505)
44.0% (266)
By Period
Dvorak
Turris
P1
54.5%
47.5%
P2
53.6%
43.3%
P3
57.1%
50.6%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |