Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Johnson 50.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 54.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 61.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Dvorak
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Johnson
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Dvorak
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
51.8% (85)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
0.0% (1)
+56.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
0.0% (1)
+48.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Johnson
Home
55.0% (516)
36.4% (22)
Away
49.3% (546)
55.4% (65)
By Period
Dvorak
Johnson
P1
54.9%
65.4%
P2
51.1%
47.8%
P3
51.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |