Christian Dvorak vs Mitchell Stephens
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Stephens 49.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 82.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 71.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Dvorak
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dvorak
Stephens
Last 8: Dvorak 5-3 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
3
Dvorak
Stephens
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
50.8% (199)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
42.6% (54)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stephens
Home
59.0% (432)
53.3% (122)
Away
54.8% (535)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Dvorak
Stephens
P1
58.7%
52.6%
P2
53.9%
48.0%
P3
57.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |