Christian Dvorak vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Thompson 45.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 79.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 88.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 79.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Dvorak
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Dvorak
Thompson
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Dvorak
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
44.9% (642)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
47.9% (94)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
33.3% (33)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Thompson
Home
53.6% (461)
46.0% (391)
Away
52.9% (507)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Dvorak
Thompson
P1
54.1%
48.1%
P2
52.9%
44.9%
P3
53.8%
41.2%
OT
36.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |