Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Bozak 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Dvorak
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Bozak
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
58.3% (271)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
60.6% (33)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
50.0% (78)
-1.8%
On even strength, Bozak has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bozak
Home
55.0% (516)
60.7% (206)
Away
49.3% (546)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Dvorak
Bozak
P1
54.9%
57.3%
P2
51.1%
57.8%
P3
51.0%
56.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |