Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ehn wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ehn 48.4% vs Thompson 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ehn 75.3%
Defensive zone
Ehn 60.9%
Neutral zone
Ehn 62.0%
Result
Christoffer Ehn favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Ehn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ehn
Thompson
Last 6: Ehn 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ehn
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Ehn
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ehn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (166)
54.5% (628)
-6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.4% (19)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
51.3% (113)
-6.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ehn is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Ehn shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Ehn
Thompson
Home
45.9% (85)
55.6% (329)
Away
48.9% (92)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Ehn
Thompson
P1
48.2%
55.3%
P2
46.4%
48.1%
P3
47.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ehn
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Christoffer Ehn |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Christoffer Ehn |