Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Giroux 58.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 64.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 93.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 78.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Wheeler
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wheeler
Giroux
Last 5: Wheeler 5-0 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
0
Wheeler
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
58.6% (787)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
59.3% (194)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
61.3% (142)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Giroux is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Giroux
Home
52.8% (352)
61.3% (568)
Away
46.3% (300)
56.8% (555)
By Period
Wheeler
Giroux
P1
46.8%
59.6%
P2
57.7%
58.9%
P3
44.8%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |