Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Miller 59.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 59.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 58.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 70.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Giroux
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Giroux
Miller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
61.5% (540)
-1.2%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
65.6% (122)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
47.7% (65)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Giroux
Miller
Home
65.9% (337)
62.1% (372)
Away
59.1% (318)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Giroux
Miller
P1
62.1%
58.9%
P2
64.5%
63.9%
P3
60.9%
59.8%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |