Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 53.4% vs Arnott 50.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 71.9%
Defensive zone
Arnott 61.4%
Neutral zone
Arnott 68.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Giroux
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Giroux
Arnott
Last 7: Giroux 2-5 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Giroux
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Giroux
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
3
Giroux
Arnott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (992)
50.5% (667)
+0.3%
Power Play
63.5% (329)
49.4% (89)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
60.0% (5)
-6.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Giroux is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (428).
Giroux shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Giroux
Arnott
Home
57.4% (812)
53.1% (431)
Away
49.5% (731)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Giroux
Arnott
P1
51.9%
46.9%
P2
52.3%
52.9%
P3
56.6%
50.4%
OT
51.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
53.7%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |