Claude Giroux vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Giroux
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Giroux
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
59.1% (687)
+1.2%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
69.4% (36)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
60.1% (213)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pageau
Home
65.9% (337)
57.8% (377)
Away
59.1% (318)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Giroux
Pageau
P1
62.1%
54.1%
P2
64.5%
62.1%
P3
60.9%
61.8%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |