Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 53.4% vs Thornton 55.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Giroux
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Giroux
Thornton
Last 7: Giroux 5-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (992)
55.8% (704)
-5.0%
Power Play
63.5% (329)
56.7% (208)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
56.7% (67)
-2.8%
On power play, Giroux has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Giroux is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Giroux shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thornton
Home
57.4% (812)
59.0% (493)
Away
49.5% (731)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Giroux
Thornton
P1
51.9%
55.3%
P2
52.3%
55.4%
P3
56.6%
57.1%
OT
51.7%
59.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
53.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |