Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 52.7% vs Thornton 55.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 55.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 57.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Giroux
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Giroux
Thornton
Last 9: Giroux 2-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Giroux
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Giroux
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (1,257)
55.1% (836)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.9% (377)
60.8% (181)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (126)
56.1% (82)
-3.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Giroux is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,155).
Giroux shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thornton
Home
56.0% (868)
60.4% (528)
Away
49.9% (892)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Giroux
Thornton
P1
53.4%
58.1%
P2
54.0%
55.3%
P3
52.0%
55.0%
OT
41.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
52.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |