Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Thornton 52.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 87.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 94.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 80.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Giroux
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Giroux
Thornton
Last 8: Giroux 7-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Giroux
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
51.8% (577)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
57.7% (168)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
37.5% (8)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Giroux is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Giroux shoots right. Thornton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thornton
Home
58.4% (942)
53.0% (379)
Away
56.5% (939)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Giroux
Thornton
P1
60.8%
53.3%
P2
54.7%
50.7%
P3
57.8%
54.3%
OT
49.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |