Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Toews 58.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 52.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 55.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 56.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Giroux
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Giroux
Toews
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Giroux
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
1
Giroux
Toews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Giroux
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
58.2% (1,200)
-2.2%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
62.8% (250)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
53.7% (123)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Giroux is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Giroux shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Giroux
Toews
Home
58.4% (942)
59.8% (805)
Away
56.5% (939)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Giroux
Toews
P1
60.8%
60.2%
P2
54.7%
60.7%
P3
57.8%
55.9%
OT
49.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |