Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 37-24 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 96.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 95.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 95.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Giroux
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
24
(61 meetings)
37
24
Giroux
Bailey
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
15
10
Giroux
Bailey
25 total
Defensive Zone
Even
12
12
Giroux
Bailey
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
10
2
Giroux
Bailey
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
45.8% (1,991)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
48.1% (295)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
39.9% (281)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Giroux
Bailey
Home
59.2% (10,252)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Giroux
Bailey
P1
57.5%
46.5%
P2
56.2%
44.8%
P3
57.3%
44.4%
OT
51.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
58.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |