Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 54.1% vs Bailey 48.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 92.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 87.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 88.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Giroux
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Giroux
Bailey
Last 6: Giroux 5-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (787)
51.8% (56)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.5% (238)
0.0% (1)
+55.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (157)
33.3% (18)
+23.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Giroux is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Giroux shoots right. Bailey is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Giroux
Bailey
Home
55.8% (604)
53.5% (43)
Away
53.1% (578)
37.5% (32)
By Period
Giroux
Bailey
P1
55.1%
33.3%
P2
51.4%
60.0%
P3
56.4%
44.8%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
54.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |