Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.3% vs Bailey 48.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 58.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 52.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 50.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Giroux
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Giroux
Bailey
Last 5: Giroux 2-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Giroux
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,373)
49.0% (51)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.6% (361)
30.0% (10)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (144)
40.0% (5)
+16.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Giroux is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,243).
Giroux shoots right. Bailey is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Giroux
Bailey
Home
59.2% (923)
40.6% (32)
Away
54.1% (955)
50.0% (34)
By Period
Giroux
Bailey
P1
60.0%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
38.1%
P3
57.3%
52.2%
OT
47.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |