Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 58.3% vs Bailey 50.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 58.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 78.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Giroux
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Giroux
Bailey
Last 8: Giroux 4-4 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
3
Giroux
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (787)
50.8% (189)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.3% (194)
52.8% (53)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (142)
28.6% (14)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Giroux is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Giroux shoots right. Bailey is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Giroux
Bailey
Home
61.3% (568)
55.2% (145)
Away
56.8% (555)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Giroux
Bailey
P1
59.6%
42.4%
P2
58.9%
52.2%
P3
58.5%
56.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
59.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |