Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Jokinen 51.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 54.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 62.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 58.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Giroux
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
Jokinen
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Giroux
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
40.3% (72)
+15.7%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
56.8% (132)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
53.4% (58)
+6.3%
On even strength, Giroux has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Giroux is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Giroux shoots right. Jokinen is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Giroux
Jokinen
Home
58.4% (942)
58.7% (150)
Away
56.5% (939)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Giroux
Jokinen
P1
60.8%
53.0%
P2
54.7%
46.2%
P3
57.8%
50.6%
OT
49.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.5%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | OT | 02:51 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2016 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |