Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 73.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 65.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Giroux
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
Draisaitl
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
Giroux
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
55.9% (835)
+4.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
61.8% (228)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
50.0% (40)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Giroux
Draisaitl
Home
65.9% (337)
55.1% (508)
Away
59.1% (318)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Giroux
Draisaitl
P1
62.1%
55.8%
P2
64.5%
55.7%
P3
60.9%
59.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |