Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 77.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Giroux
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Giroux
Scheifele
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Giroux
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
3
Giroux
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
46.5% (878)
+13.8%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
48.3% (174)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
50.0% (54)
+15.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Giroux
Scheifele
Home
65.9% (337)
46.2% (571)
Away
59.1% (318)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Giroux
Scheifele
P1
62.1%
51.9%
P2
64.5%
45.6%
P3
60.9%
43.9%
OT
70.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |