Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Peca 50.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 73.6%
Defensive zone
Peca 76.8%
Neutral zone
Peca 73.1%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Giroux
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Giroux
Peca
Last 6: Giroux 1-5 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
4
Giroux
Peca
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
51.5% (423)
+4.3%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
12.5% (8)
+48.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
44.2% (43)
+13.2%
On power play, Giroux has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Giroux
Peca
Home
59.2% (10,252)
46.1% (193)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Giroux
Peca
P1
57.5%
56.6%
P2
56.2%
44.4%
P3
57.3%
50.3%
OT
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |