Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Thompson 53.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Giroux
Thompson
Last 6: Giroux 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Giroux
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (765)
54.5% (628)
+1.4%
Power Play
64.9% (265)
47.4% (19)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (133)
51.3% (113)
+4.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Giroux is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (815).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
60.1% (561)
55.6% (329)
Away
55.9% (603)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
61.1%
55.3%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
59.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
64.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |