Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 71.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Giroux
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Giroux
Kapanen
Last 6: Giroux 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
47.5% (514)
+12.8%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
55.0% (40)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
39.5% (38)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kapanen
Home
65.9% (337)
47.9% (307)
Away
59.1% (318)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Giroux
Kapanen
P1
62.1%
42.7%
P2
64.5%
51.4%
P3
60.9%
48.4%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |