Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Noesen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Noesen 44.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 74.0%
Defensive zone
Noesen 53.5%
Neutral zone
Noesen 69.8%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Giroux
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Giroux
Noesen
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
1
5
Giroux
Noesen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Noesen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
42.3% (407)
+13.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
46.5% (114)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
57.1% (14)
+0.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Giroux
Noesen
Home
59.2% (10,252)
43.8% (267)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Giroux
Noesen
P1
57.5%
38.2%
P2
56.2%
45.3%
P3
57.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |