Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Nosek 53.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 81.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 66.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Giroux
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Giroux
Nosek
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
1
Giroux
Nosek
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
9
Giroux
Nosek
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
4
Giroux
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
55.0% (2,608)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
43.5% (46)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
48.6% (397)
+8.7%
On power play, Giroux has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,248).
Giroux shoots right. Nosek is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,171).
Home / Away
Giroux
Nosek
Home
59.2% (10,192)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Giroux
Nosek
P1
57.5%
52.5%
P2
56.1%
54.7%
P3
57.3%
54.6%
OT
51.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |