Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Novak 42.6% (+22.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 86.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 97.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 95.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Giroux
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Giroux
Novak
Last 7: Giroux 7-0 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
40.5% (405)
+20.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
45.5% (33)
+20.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Giroux
Novak
Home
66.6% (350)
42.0% (212)
Away
59.2% (346)
39.8% (226)
By Period
Giroux
Novak
P1
62.1%
41.7%
P2
64.7%
39.5%
P3
61.6%
42.1%
OT
69.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |