Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Smith 48.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 74.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Giroux
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Giroux
Smith
Last 8: Giroux 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Giroux
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
49.0% (769)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
63.6% (22)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
42.4% (118)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,248).
Giroux shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Giroux
Smith
Home
59.2% (10,192)
52.4% (490)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Giroux
Smith
P1
57.5%
46.9%
P2
56.1%
51.2%
P3
57.3%
47.7%
OT
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |