Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.3% vs Bozak 53.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 65.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 67.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Giroux
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Giroux
Bozak
Last 9: Giroux 3-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Giroux
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,373)
53.8% (1,244)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.6% (361)
53.1% (356)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (144)
49.1% (175)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Giroux is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Giroux shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Giroux
Bozak
Home
59.2% (923)
57.7% (892)
Away
54.1% (955)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Giroux
Bozak
P1
60.0%
54.0%
P2
53.2%
54.4%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
OT
47.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |