Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 53.4% vs Smith 49.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 62.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 87.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Giroux
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Giroux
Smith
Last 8: Giroux 2-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Giroux
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Giroux
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Giroux
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (992)
48.0% (761)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.5% (329)
70.4% (27)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
49.5% (196)
+4.4%
On power play, Smith has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Giroux is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Giroux shoots right. Smith is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Giroux
Smith
Home
57.4% (812)
49.9% (523)
Away
49.5% (731)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Giroux
Smith
P1
51.9%
47.5%
P2
52.3%
50.4%
P3
56.6%
48.4%
OT
51.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
53.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |