Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.7% vs Ryan 52.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Eakin
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eakin
Ryan
Last 6: Eakin 4-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (508)
54.1% (603)
-4.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
40.9% (44)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
45.9% (85)
-1.4%
On power play, Eakin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Eakin is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Eakin shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Eakin
Ryan
Home
48.5% (330)
52.5% (341)
Away
48.6% (311)
52.2% (391)
By Period
Eakin
Ryan
P1
45.8%
56.0%
P2
50.2%
48.1%
P3
50.0%
52.8%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |