Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 51.9% vs Spezza 55.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.7%
Defensive zone
Eakin 65.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.9%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Eakin
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eakin
Spezza
Last 8: Eakin 6-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Eakin
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
1
Eakin
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
0
Eakin
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (773)
56.4% (654)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
51.7% (87)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (105)
50.0% (6)
-2.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Eakin is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Eakin shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Eakin
Spezza
Home
55.8% (473)
61.4% (352)
Away
48.2% (446)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Eakin
Spezza
P1
48.2%
60.6%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
53.3%
52.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
52.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |