Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs Winchester 53.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 57.2%
Defensive zone
Winchester 50.6%
Neutral zone
Winchester 51.0%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Eakin
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eakin
Winchester
Last 7: Eakin 5-2 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Winchester
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
0
Eakin
Winchester
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
0
2
Eakin
Winchester
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
55.2% (716)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
46.7% (15)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
51.4% (175)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Eakin is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,398).
Eakin shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Eakin
Winchester
Home
51.7% (4,680)
54.7% (459)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
53.4% (451)
By Period
Eakin
Winchester
P1
49.6%
47.8%
P2
51.2%
57.8%
P3
51.3%
56.2%
OT
47.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |