Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Eakin leads 42-39 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.9%
Defensive zone
Eakin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 61.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Eakin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
39
(81 meetings)
42
39
Eakin
Pavelski
Last 10: Eakin 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
16
Eakin
Pavelski
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
22
10
Eakin
Pavelski
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
13
Eakin
Pavelski
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
53.6% (8,791)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
58.2% (2,122)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
50.9% (1,138)
-3.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Eakin is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,398).
Eakin shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Eakin
Pavelski
Home
51.7% (4,680)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Eakin
Pavelski
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
51.2%
55.2%
P3
51.3%
53.9%
OT
47.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |