Scouting Report
Cody Eakin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.0% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Eakin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eakin
MacKinnon
Last 6: Eakin 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Eakin
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Eakin
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,008)
42.0% (407)
+5.6%
Power Play
47.9% (94)
51.2% (43)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
50.0% (2)
-0.4%
On even strength, Eakin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eakin is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Eakin shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Eakin
MacKinnon
Home
46.7% (599)
42.1% (202)
Away
48.9% (624)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Eakin
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
43.3%
P2
48.4%
41.5%
P3
45.8%
44.2%
OT
35.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
47.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |