Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eakin wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.7% vs Dowd 49.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 60.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.5%
Neutral zone
Eakin 51.2%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Eakin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eakin
Dowd
Last 6: Eakin 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
1
Eakin
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eakin
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (508)
50.7% (379)
-1.3%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
64.3% (14)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
46.5% (157)
-2.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eakin is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Eakin shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Eakin
Dowd
Home
48.5% (330)
53.7% (244)
Away
48.6% (311)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Eakin
Dowd
P1
45.8%
53.6%
P2
50.2%
44.1%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |