Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.8% vs Kesler 55.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 54.8%
Defensive zone
Eakin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Eakin 55.0%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Eakin
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eakin
Kesler
Last 5: Eakin 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Eakin
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (493)
57.6% (231)
-7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
65.5% (29)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (91)
51.2% (43)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Eakin is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Eakin shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Eakin
Kesler
Home
49.9% (343)
58.8% (114)
Away
47.0% (283)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Eakin
Kesler
P1
51.1%
60.8%
P2
46.7%
60.0%
P3
48.0%
52.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |