Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Glass wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 45.3% vs Stepan 47.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glass 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.7%
Neutral zone
Glass 51.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Glass
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Glass
Stepan
Last 5: Glass 2-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Glass
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Glass
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (135)
47.3% (877)
-5.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.4% (103)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.2% (217)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Glass has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Glass is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Glass shoots right. Stepan is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Glass
Stepan
Home
46.7% (75)
50.4% (560)
Away
36.8% (68)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Glass
Stepan
P1
44.4%
47.4%
P2
42.9%
47.0%
P3
38.2%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
50.0%▼
58.5%
42.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Cody Glass |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Glass |