Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Glass wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 44.6% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glass 67.9%
Defensive zone
Glass 68.6%
Neutral zone
Glass 67.8%
Result
Cody Glass favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Glass
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Glass
MacKinnon
Last 6: Glass 0-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Glass
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Glass
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Glass
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (226)
48.5% (439)
-7.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.8% (42)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
25.0% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glass is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Glass shoots right. MacKinnon is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Glass
MacKinnon
Home
41.0% (144)
52.5% (221)
Away
44.3% (115)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Glass
MacKinnon
P1
40.2%
50.5%
P2
44.1%
45.5%
P3
42.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
36.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
50.0%▼
58.5%
42.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |