Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Hodgson 46.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 77.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 92.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 91.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Vermette
Hodgson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vermette
Hodgson
Last 6: Vermette 5-1 Hodgson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Hodgson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Hodgson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Hodgson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Hodgson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
46.4% (563)
+11.1%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
47.1% (121)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
38.1% (21)
+5.1%
On even strength, Vermette has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgson shoots right. Vermette is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Vermette shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Vermette
Hodgson
Home
58.7% (547)
50.3% (286)
Away
54.6% (593)
43.6% (424)
By Period
Vermette
Hodgson
P1
58.6%
48.2%
P2
58.7%
49.2%
P3
52.7%
41.9%
OT
57.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |