Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Hodgson 46.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 87.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 64.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 70.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Richards
Hodgson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Richards
Hodgson
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Hodgson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
15
2
Richards
Hodgson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Hodgson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
7
Richards
Hodgson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Hodgson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
46.2% (2,353)
+4.2%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
48.9% (493)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
42.7% (157)
-1.4%
On even strength, Richards has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgson shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Richards
Hodgson
Home
51.1% (2,671)
48.8% (1,431)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
44.3% (1,577)
By Period
Richards
Hodgson
P1
49.6%
47.9%
P2
50.3%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
42.3%
OT
50.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |