Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Helm 50.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 72.3%
Neutral zone
Helm 54.8%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hodgson
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Hodgson
Helm
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
4
3
Hodgson
Helm
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
1
Hodgson
Helm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
4
Hodgson
Helm
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
51.1% (2,790)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
54.7% (148)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
48.0% (719)
-5.3%
On power play, Helm has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Helm
Home
48.8% (1,431)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Hodgson
Helm
P1
47.9%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
42.3%
49.7%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 24, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Darren Helm |