Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Helm 51.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 54.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.6%
Neutral zone
Helm 66.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Hodgson
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hodgson
Helm
Last 9: Hodgson 6-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Helm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hodgson
Helm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
51.4% (607)
-5.0%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
42.3% (26)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
55.1% (136)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Helm is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Helm
Home
50.3% (286)
52.8% (371)
Away
43.6% (424)
51.0% (406)
By Period
Hodgson
Helm
P1
48.2%
50.4%
P2
49.2%
54.7%
P3
41.9%
50.6%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Darren Helm |