Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Hodgson wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bolland shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Bolland 48.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 70.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 86.6%
Neutral zone
Bolland 58.9%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Hodgson
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hodgson
Bolland
Last 5: Hodgson 4-1 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Bolland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Bolland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Bolland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
49.5% (913)
-3.1%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
48.3% (87)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
44.1% (195)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. Hodgson is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Hodgson shoots right. Bolland is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bolland
Home
50.3% (286)
50.8% (622)
Away
43.6% (424)
45.8% (581)
By Period
Hodgson
Bolland
P1
48.2%
47.1%
P2
49.2%
47.8%
P3
41.9%
50.9%
OT
22.2%
39.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |