Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hodgson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs MacKenzie 52.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 87.4%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 79.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Hodgson
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Hodgson
MacKenzie
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Hodgson
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
2
Hodgson
MacKenzie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
6
Hodgson
MacKenzie
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (317)
55.1% (737)
-10.9%
Power Play
55.0% (60)
36.8% (19)
+18.2%
On power play, Hodgson has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Hodgson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Hodgson shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Hodgson
MacKenzie
Home
45.5% (202)
54.9% (506)
Away
46.3% (175)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Hodgson
MacKenzie
P1
51.5%
54.5%
P2
41.4%
55.6%
P3
44.1%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |