Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Staal 51.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 66.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Hodgson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hodgson
Staal
Last 7: Hodgson 1-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Hodgson
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hodgson
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hodgson
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
52.4% (804)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
53.5% (157)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
41.5% (53)
-1.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Staal is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Staal
Home
49.5% (382)
52.7% (490)
Away
44.4% (430)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Hodgson
Staal
P1
48.5%
56.4%
P2
48.9%
52.4%
P3
42.5%
47.4%
OT
53.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |