Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 48.5% vs Josefson 48.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Josefson 60.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 50.5%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hodgson
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hodgson
Josefson
Last 6: Hodgson 3-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Josefson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Hodgson
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (97)
47.2% (513)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.9% (61)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Hodgson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Hodgson shoots right. Josefson is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Josefson
Home
53.3% (45)
51.6% (351)
Away
41.5% (53)
44.9% (316)
By Period
Hodgson
Josefson
P1
45.2%
46.3%
P2
53.5%
51.2%
P3
37.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
31.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.9%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |